Sunday, 11 November 2012

The Gartman Letter


http://www.cnbc.com/id/49216392?__source=yahoo|headline|quote|text|&par=yahoo


Dennis Gartman Going Long Gold, Corn, Nat Gas

Published: Tuesday, 2 Oct 2012 | 6:30 PM ET
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By: Bruno J. Navarro
Producer



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The world economy isn’t likely headed for a meltdown, but exposure to gold [GCCV1  1733.40    2.50  (+0.14%)   ] is still a good idea, noted commodities investor Dennis Gartman said Tuesday on CNBC.
“I am not a gold bug. I don’t think the world is coming to an end, but I think everyone needs to own some gold but the trend has been from the lower left to upper right for a long time,” he said. “Gold is just another currency.
“It is doing well in other currency terms. We saw gold make a new high in euro terms. It’s making new highs in yen terms. It is getting close to making new highs in dollar terms.”
On “Fast Money,” Gartman said that his preferred trade was in the gold ETF [GLD  167.82    -0.17  (-0.1%)   ], bullion or a big player such as ASA Gold and Precious Metals [ASA  23.16    -0.23  (-0.98%)   ], rather than in junior miners [GDXJ  23.94    -0.002  (-0.01%)   ].
“I think gold stocks will probably overperform for the near time,” he said. “I will stay away from the juniors. I just don’t venture there.”
In the energy space, Gartman revealed that he held long positions via a Canadian fund in natural gas and short in crude oil.
“I think being long of nat gas [NGCV1  3.496    -0.007  (-0.2%)   ] and short of crude [CLCV1  85.99    -0.08  (-0.09%)   ] makes sense,” he said. “I will go with that trade.”
In agriculture, Gartman noted that the U.S. drought conditions were widely known.
“Grain prices got extremely extended on the upside. They’re are beginning to look rather weak,” he said. “If you need to own one corn [CCV1  736.50    -2.25  (-0.3%)   ] is the one to own. If you need to be short one, you probably need to be short of soybeans [SCV1  1426.25    -25.00  (-1.72%)   ].”
Trader disclosure: On Oct. 2, 2012, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s “Fast Money” were owned by the “Fast Money” traders: Dan Nathan is long AAPL OCT 700/705 CALL SPREAD; Dan Nathan is long XLY NOV 46/44 PUT SPREAD; Dan Nathan is long YHOO JAN 17/5 CALLS; Dan Nathan is long FB NOV/JAN 22 CALL SPREAD; Dan Nathan is long GOOG 715/680/645 PUT FLY; Steve Grasso is long AET; Steve Grasso is long ASTM; Steve Grasso is long AUO; Steve Grasso is long BA; Steve Grasso is long F; Steve Grasso is long LF; Steve Grasso is long LNG; Steve Grasso is long MHY; Steve Grasso is long P; Steve Grasso is long NVIV; Steve Grasso is long PFE; Steve Grasso is long S; Steve Grasso is long WYNN; Simon Baker is long AAPL; Simon Baker is long GS; Simon Baker is long AMZN; Simon Baker is long GOOG; Simon Baker is long MDLZ; Simon Baker is long LEAP; Simon Baker is long CSTR; Stephanie Link is long AAPL; Stephanie Link is long JPM; Stephanie Link is long WFC; Stephanie Link is long SBUX; Stephanie Link is long KFT; Stephanie Link is long MDLZ.
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Sectors:Gold Mining
 
 

GARTMAN: Sharp Break in Gold is Coming, Watch Indian Diwali Demand + FED Misconceptions 

 

Published on Oct 31, 2012 by
Extremely bearish on gold at the moment, Dennis Gartman spoke to us from the 2012 New Orleans Investment Conference about why he is out of the gold market at the moment, holding only a "core" position which he says is extremely minimal in comparison to his past gold holdings, and even that small of a position makes him uncomfortable.. According to Gartman, too many people are misunderstanding what the FED is doing and not paying attention to the "key data point", which he feels is the Adjusted Monetary Base, which indicates what the FED actually owns. Gartman feels that gold is overbought on the misconception that the FED is "easy", which he says it is not, indicated by the almost sideways chart of the most recent Adjusted Monetary Base releases. Furthermore, he feels a sharp break is coming, especially if gold should fall to $1,700 this week, and especially if gold doesn't get support from Diwali demand. Kitco News, November 1, 2012.

 

 

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Dennis Gartman Says Euro a `Completely Doomed' Currency: Video

 

 

Gartman Discusses State of European Monetary Union: Video 

 






 

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